BTS Pro Series Season 6. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 1:1series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team SMGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Team SMG
Brewmaster
AhFu · 6 games
Death Prophetoften banned
vtFαded · 6 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
AhFu · 6 games
Tusk
AhFu · 6 games
Marsoften banned
Ohaiyo · 5 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mushi · 5 games
Weaveroften banned
vtFαded · 5 games
Elder Titan
Roddgeee · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
388 picks · 985 bans
Lion
374 picks · 194 bans
Mars
366 picks · 597 bans
Grimstroke
354 picks · 364 bans
Death Prophet
302 picks · 656 bans
Void Spirit
293 picks · 481 bans
Tusk
291 picks · 225 bans
Snapfire
289 picks · 165 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Lilgun
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Team SMG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam SMG · 57%