BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Lilgunloss 1:1series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Lilgun
No games played over 6 months.
Yangon Galacticos
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Young PH · 6 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 5 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Spectreoften banned
Ksh · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 4 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Clinkz
Ksh · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
540 picks · 379 bans
Mars
452 picks · 654 bans
Queen of Pain
436 picks · 531 bans
Weaver
429 picks · 842 bans
Snapfire
347 picks · 177 bans
Kunkka
335 picks · 535 bans
Spirit Breaker
335 picks · 533 bans
Wraith King
272 picks · 309 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 33%
Hero pool strength52% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total59% Lilgun
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:59
Lilgun 59%Yangon Galacticos 41%
The model gave 59% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 34:50.
Game 2prediction missed52:23
Lilgun 59%Yangon Galacticos 41%
The model gave 59% on Lilgun — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 37:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteLilgun · 59%
Accuracy by game0 of 2