Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Китай. Открытые отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Limitloss 0:2series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Ybb Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Limit
No games played over 6 months.
Ybb Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
354 picks · 243 bans
Marci
327 picks · 560 bans
Undying
285 picks · 476 bans
Tusk
270 picks · 174 bans
Pangolier
252 picks · 419 bans
Primal Beast
240 picks · 499 bans
Shadow Fiend
213 picks · 282 bans
Crystal Maiden
207 picks · 100 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 60%
Hero pool strength50% Limit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Ybb Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:29
Limit 43%Ybb Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 1:09:04.
Game 2prediction correct3:18
Limit 43%Ybb Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Ybb Gaming — the game was taken by Ybb Gaming in 19:00.
Model check result
Model favoriteYbb Gaming · 57%
Series resultYbb Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2