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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Lindorfitoswin 2:1
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Estar Backsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Lindorfitos

No games played over 6 months.

Estar Backs

Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
Accel · 13 games
46%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Yadomi · 11 games
18%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Accel · 9 games
44%
Tiny
Tiny
payk · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Accel · 4 games
75%
Lone Druid
Lone Druidoften banned
payk · 4 games
25%
Omniknight
Omniknight
bsK7- · 4 games
25%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Yadomi · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
612 picks · 395 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
514 picks · 286 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
479 picks · 579 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
466 picks · 385 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
422 picks · 590 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
341 picks · 964 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
338 picks · 283 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
333 picks · 499 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 42%
Hero pool strength51% Lindorfitos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Estar Backs
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Lindorfitos 38%Estar Backs 62%
The model gave 62% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Estar Backs.
Game 2prediction missed
Lindorfitos 38%Estar Backs 62%
The model gave 62% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Lindorfitos.
Game 3prediction missed
Lindorfitos 38%Estar Backs 62%
The model gave 62% on Estar Backs — the game was taken by Lindorfitos.
Model check result
Model favoriteEstar Backs · 62%
Series resultLindorfitos 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3