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The International 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Lindorfitoswin 2:1
series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:1
x5 Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Lindorfitos

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
StingeR · 1 game
0%
Kez
Kezoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
100%
Necrophos
Necrophosoften banned
DaaD- · 1 game
0%
Rubick
Rubick
StingeR · 1 game
100%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectoroften banned
StingeR · 1 game
100%
Windranger
Windranger
DaaD- · 1 game
100%

x5 Gaming

Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Hermit · 7 games
57%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Pamplona · 6 games
33%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Hermit · 3 games
0%
Chen
Chenoften banned
555k · 3 games
67%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Hermit · 2 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
555k · 2 games
0%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Pamplona · 2 games
100%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
Hermit · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
637 picks · 435 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
557 picks · 313 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
488 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
461 picks · 393 bans
48%
Pangolier
Pangolier
435 picks · 648 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
351 picks · 1022 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
347 picks · 534 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 302 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 57%
Hero pool strength55% Lindorfitos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Lindorfitos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:47
Lindorfitos 59%x5 Gaming 41%
The model gave 59% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by x5 Gaming in 46:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyDaaD-
33% · 41 game68% · 47 games
Kunkkamini-`
Kunkka
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernStingeR
30% · 6 games
Game 2prediction correct42:20
Lindorfitos 65%x5 Gaming 35%
The model gave 65% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by Lindorfitos in 32:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Juggernaut
JuggernautDaaD-
64% · 29 games42% · 54 games
Storm Spiritmini-`
Storm Spirit
Lich
LichStingeR
52% · 25 games
Game 3prediction correct36:20
Lindorfitos 63%x5 Gaming 37%
The model gave 63% on Lindorfitos — the game was taken by Lindorfitos in 30:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetDaaD-
38% · 48 games55% · 61 game
Primal Beastmini-`
Primal Beast
Undying
UndyingStingeR
53% · 13 games
Model check result
Model favoriteLindorfitos · 76%
Series resultLindorfitos 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3