DreamLeague Season 26. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionLRlittle rangersloss 0:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:1
crab restoranwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
little rangers
No games played over 6 months.
crab restoran
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
518 picks · 713 bans
Muerta
427 picks · 312 bans
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
Bristleback
378 picks · 869 bans
Magnus
377 picks · 997 bans
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 643 bans
Pangolier
364 picks · 506 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% little rangers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% little rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
little rangers 50%crab restoran 50%
The model gave 50% on little rangers — the game was taken by crab restoran.
Model check result
Model favoritelittle rangers · 50%
Series resultcrab restoran 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1