?
arrow_backBack to match
DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
Looking for Orgwin 2:0
series probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Heroicloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Looking for Org

Mars
Marsoften banned
DarkMago · 15 games
40%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Yadomi · 13 games
46%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Mnz · 13 games
31%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Matthew · 13 games
54%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Yadomi · 10 games
70%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Sacred · 9 games
56%
Luna
Lunasignature
Mnz · 9 games
67%
Omniknight
Omniknightoften banned
Yadomi · 8 games
50%

Heroic

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Scofield · 25 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Scofield · 25 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Scofield · 19 games
58%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Scofield · 18 games
67%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
4nalog · 16 games
63%
Alchemist
Alchemistsignature
K1 · 15 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
KJ · 15 games
67%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Davai · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
362 picks · 488 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
361 picks · 332 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
326 picks · 461 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
307 picks · 598 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
289 picks · 346 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
286 picks · 153 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
259 picks · 427 bans
48%
Batrider
Batrider
248 picks · 240 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 54%
Hero pool strength56% Heroic
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% Heroic
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed33:13
Looking for Org 36%Heroic 64%
The model gave 64% on Heroic — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 34:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
Lunapayk
53% · 236 games47% · 335 games
MorphlingParker
Morphling
Invoker
InvokerDarkMago
55% · 124 games51% · 210 games
Storm Spirit4nalog
Storm Spirit
Primal Beast
Primal BeastSacred
48% · 185 games51% · 118 games
Sand KingDavai
Sand King
Pugna
PugnaYadomi
51% · 96 games42% · 16 games
LichKJ
Lich
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonMatthew
47% · 269 games50% · 231 game
LionScofield
Lion
Game 2prediction missed37:30
Looking for Org 36%Heroic 64%
The model gave 64% on Heroic — the game was taken by Looking for Org in 43:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightpayk
51% · 237 games49% · 218 games
SvenParker
Sven
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerSacred
58% · 39 games44% · 94 games
Earth Spirit4nalog
Earth Spirit
Mars
MarsDarkMago
51% · 212 games46% · 76 games
VisageDavai
Visage
Clockwerk
ClockwerkYadomi
58% · 260 games49% · 298 games
Shadow DemonKJ
Shadow Demon
Lion
LionMatthew
50% · 160 games45% · 222 games
Dark WillowScofield
Dark Willow
Model check result
Model favoriteHeroic · 75%
Series resultLooking for Org 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2