BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Los Magicardswin 1:0series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Lavaloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Los Magicards
No games played over 6 months.
Lava
Batrideroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
Phantom Assassin
payk · 2 games
Undyingoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
Abaddonoften banned
payk · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
payk · 1 game
Razoroften banned
payk · 1 game
Wraith King
payk · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
246 picks · 419 bans
Muerta
224 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
211 picks · 323 bans
Tusk
196 picks · 181 bans
Dark Willow
195 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
192 picks · 265 bans
Treant Protector
185 picks · 358 bans
Kunkka
177 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 33%
Hero pool strength51% Lava
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Lava
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Los Magicards 31%Lava 69%
The model gave 69% on Lava — the game was taken by Los Magicards.
Model check result
Model favoriteLava · 69%
Series resultLos Magicards 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1