BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Los Magicardsloss 0:2series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mad Kingswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Los Magicards
Dark Willow
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Drow Ranger
Mnz · 1 game
Gyrocopter
Mnz · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 1 game
Shadow Demon
sl4d1n- · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
ITALIANO GANGSTA · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Yadomi · 1 game
Undyingoften banned
Yadomi · 1 game
Mad Kings
Grimstrokesignature
Gardick · 13 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
payk · 9 games
Brewmastersignature
Vitaly · 8 games
Treant Protectorsignature
Gardick · 8 games
Underlordsignature
Oscar · 8 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Vitaly · 7 games
Invokersignature
Genek · 7 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Vitaly · 6 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
255 picks · 433 bans
Phoenix
229 picks · 359 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Centaur Warrunner
214 picks · 284 bans
Tusk
209 picks · 194 bans
Dark Willow
207 picks · 99 bans
Treant Protector
189 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
184 picks · 513 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 57%
Hero pool strength53% Los Magicards
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Mad Kings
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct10:27
Los Magicards 30%Mad Kings 70%
The model gave 70% on Mad Kings — the game was taken by Mad Kings in 25:56.
Game 2prediction correct13:41
Los Magicards 30%Mad Kings 70%
The model gave 70% on Mad Kings — the game was taken by Mad Kings in 29:21.
Model check result
Model favoriteMad Kings · 70%
Series resultMad Kings 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2