?
arrow_backBack to match
ESL One Bangkok 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
M80loss 0:2
series probability
4%96%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

M80

Snapfire
Snapfire
Elmisho · 24 games
25%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 21 game
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Elmisho · 20 games
60%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Elmisho · 16 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
MoOz · 15 games
47%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 15 games
33%
Phoenix
Phoenix
MoOz · 15 games
27%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
Vitaly · 14 games
43%

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 28 games
64%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 27 games
48%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
70%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 20 games
80%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 19 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 18 games
61%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 17 games
76%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
486 picks · 674 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
417 picks · 493 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 535 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
355 picks · 184 bans
50%
Luna
Luna
333 picks · 445 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
312 picks · 333 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
309 picks · 524 bans
54%
Enchantress
Enchantress
308 picks · 595 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 56%
Hero pool strength61% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total96% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:37
M80 14%BETBOOM TEAM 86%
The model gave 86% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 50:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlingpayk
43% · 287 games55% · 43 games
Drow RangerPure~
Drow Ranger
Doom
DoomILICH-
47% · 207 games55% · 107 games
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
Earth Spirit
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiMoOz
47% · 71 game57% · 127 games
MagnusMieRo
Magnus
Dark Willow
Dark WillowElmisho
48% · 223 games53% · 278 games
Shadow DemonSave-
Shadow Demon
50% · 233 games
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct6:40
M80 15%BETBOOM TEAM 85%
The model gave 85% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 21:22.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Troll Warlord
Troll Warlordpayk
51% · 80 games51% · 94 games
UrsaPure~
Ursa
Doom
DoomILICH-
53% · 188 games54% · 115 games
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
Monkey King
Batrider
BatriderElmisho
46% · 258 games53% · 247 games
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Centaur Warrunner
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiMoOz
47% · 53 games42% · 99 games
MuertaSave-
Muerta
56% · 24 games
LichKataomi
Lich
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 96%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2