FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
M80win 2:0series probability
80%20%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Numa Numa leiloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
M80
Snapfire
Elmisho · 25 games
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 22 games
Rubick
Elmisho · 19 games
Jakiro
MoOz · 15 games
Phoenix
MoOz · 15 games
Tuskoften banned
MoOz · 15 games
Clockwerkoften banned
MoOz · 14 games
Dark Seer
Vitaly · 14 games
Numa Numa lei
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
481 picks · 659 bans
Clockwerk
440 picks · 511 bans
Pangolier
378 picks · 556 bans
Dark Willow
367 picks · 189 bans
Batrider
341 picks · 374 bans
Luna
323 picks · 429 bans
Muerta
319 picks · 245 bans
Invoker
317 picks · 881 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)22% vs 50%
Hero pool strength56% Numa Numa lei
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total80% M80
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
M80 80%Numa Numa lei 20%
The model gave 80% on M80 — the game was taken by M80.
Game 2prediction correct
M80 80%Numa Numa lei 20%
The model gave 80% on M80 — the game was taken by M80.
Model check result
Model favoriteM80 · 80%
Series resultM80 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2