Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Южная Америка · BO3
result vs prediction
Mad Kingswin 2:1series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Dreamersloss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Mad Kings
Marssignature
Leostyle · 6 games
Medusaoften banned
Mnz · 5 games
Disruptor
Mjz · 4 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Puckoften banned
Leostyle · 4 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Mnz · 4 games
Weaveroften banned
MoOz · 4 games
Axeoften banned
Frank · 3 games
Dreamers
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
538 picks · 365 bans
Queen of Pain
474 picks · 573 bans
Mars
441 picks · 595 bans
Weaver
416 picks · 721 bans
Kunkka
350 picks · 538 bans
Spirit Breaker
343 picks · 573 bans
Snapfire
333 picks · 165 bans
Wraith King
278 picks · 357 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 71%
Hero pool strength59% Mad Kings
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% Dreamers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteDreamers · 69%
Series resultMad Kings 2:1
Series predictionmissed