Esports Nations Cup 2026. Региональные отборочные · BO3
result vs prediction
Мадагаскарwin 2:0series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Нигерияloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Мадагаскар
No games played over 6 months.
Нигерия
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
628 picks · 445 bans
Rubick
592 picks · 335 bans
Pangolier
432 picks · 631 bans
Phoenix
417 picks · 478 bans
Tiny
399 picks · 359 bans
Storm Spirit
337 picks · 380 bans
Ember Spirit
332 picks · 493 bans
Puck
319 picks · 967 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% Мадагаскар
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Нигерия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Мадагаскар 43%Нигерия 57%
The model gave 57% on Нигерия — the game was taken by Мадагаскар.
Game 2prediction missed
Мадагаскар 43%Нигерия 57%
The model gave 57% on Нигерия — the game was taken by Мадагаскар.
Model check result
Model favoriteНигерия · 57%
Series resultМадагаскар 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2