Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Made in Philippinesloss 0:2series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Atlantiswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Made in Philippines
Templar Assassinoften banned
Ken · 4 games
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Pangolieroften banned
Rupido · 3 games
Bane
Teehee · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Rupido · 2 games
Kunkkaoften banned
JG · 2 games
Puckoften banned
JG · 2 games
Atlantis
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
499 picks · 446 bans
Mars
489 picks · 689 bans
Bane
462 picks · 285 bans
Dragon Knight
437 picks · 522 bans
Sand King
411 picks · 563 bans
Storm Spirit
402 picks · 645 bans
Pangolier
373 picks · 608 bans
Grimstroke
361 picks · 311 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% Made in Philippines
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Atlantis
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Made in Philippines 39%Atlantis 61%
The model gave 61% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Atlantis.
Game 2prediction correct
Made in Philippines 39%Atlantis 61%
The model gave 61% on Atlantis — the game was taken by Atlantis.
Model check result
Model favoriteAtlantis · 61%
Series resultAtlantis 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2