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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MAG.Indonesialoss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Salvation Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MAG.Indonesia

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
dalul · 4 games
50%
Faceless Void
Faceless Voidoften banned
Cije · 3 games
33%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 3 games
0%
Pugna
Pugna
woMy · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 3 games
33%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
dalul · 3 games
100%
Mars
Marsoften banned
woMy · 2 games
0%
Meepo
Meepooften banned
Cije · 2 games
100%

Salvation Gaming

Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Dric~ · 2 games
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 2 games
50%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 2 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Dric~ · 2 games
0%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
YoungGodLevi · 1 game
0%
Axe
Axe
Rupido · 1 game
0%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Rupido · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
390 picks · 639 bans
56%
Lion
Lion
382 picks · 353 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
376 picks · 604 bans
54%
Techies
Techies
370 picks · 304 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
357 picks · 766 bans
56%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
350 picks · 347 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
340 picks · 384 bans
55%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
333 picks · 201 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)47% vs 56%
Hero pool strength52% MAG.Indonesia
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total53% Salvation Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:35
MAG.Indonesia 47%Salvation Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by Salvation Gaming in 38:58.
Game 2prediction correct31:14
MAG.Indonesia 47%Salvation Gaming 53%
The model gave 53% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by Salvation Gaming in 33:19.
Model check result
Model favoriteSalvation Gaming · 53%
Series resultSalvation Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2