Elite League. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MAG.Yololoss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Darkhorsewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MAG.Yolo
Batrideroften banned
czy · 3 games
Vengeful Spirit
出省 · 3 games
Enchantressoften banned
出省 · 2 games
Hoodwink
TrazaM · 2 games
Lunaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Medusaoften banned
RA1NCLOUD · 2 games
Techies
czy · 2 games
Clockwerk
出省 · 1 game
Darkhorse
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
381 picks · 348 bans
Vengeful Spirit
336 picks · 324 bans
Centaur Warrunner
328 picks · 504 bans
Mars
310 picks · 439 bans
Techies
293 picks · 217 bans
Hoodwink
285 picks · 161 bans
Pangolier
280 picks · 422 bans
Batrider
274 picks · 510 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Darkhorse
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% MAG.Yolo
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:23
MAG.Yolo 55%Darkhorse 45%
The model gave 55% on MAG.Yolo — the game was taken by Darkhorse in 36:00.
Game 2prediction missed7:21
MAG.Yolo 55%Darkhorse 45%
The model gave 55% on MAG.Yolo — the game was taken by Darkhorse in 20:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteMAG.Yolo · 55%
Series resultDarkhorse 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2