2022 Asian Games · BO3
result vs prediction
Малайзияwin 2:0series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Кыргызстанloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Малайзия
No games played over 6 months.
Кыргызстан
Pangolieroften banned
Askold · 6 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Blizzy · 5 games
Lich
Max · 4 games
Warlock
Max · 4 games
Doomoften banned
Zayac · 3 games
Slarkoften banned
Kami · 3 games
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
Max · 3 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Blizzy · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
287 picks · 140 bans
Pangolier
201 picks · 409 bans
Ember Spirit
195 picks · 254 bans
Beastmaster
181 picks · 383 bans
Dark Seer
180 picks · 334 bans
Vengeful Spirit
178 picks · 256 bans
Skywrath Mage
175 picks · 105 bans
Sven
170 picks · 245 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 58%
Hero pool strength52% Кыргызстан
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Малайзия
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Малайзия 66%Кыргызстан 34%
The model gave 66% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Game 2prediction correct
Малайзия 66%Кыргызстан 34%
The model gave 66% on Малайзия — the game was taken by Малайзия.
Model check result
Model favoriteМалайзия · 66%
Series resultМалайзия 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2