BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
MANTA Esportswin 1:0series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:0
PPlsReportTimberloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MANTA Esports
Marsoften banned
Kimizu · 2 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Primal Beastoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
Timbersawoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
PlsReportTimber
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
369 picks · 354 bans
Hoodwink
359 picks · 403 bans
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
Pangolier
328 picks · 517 bans
Sven
296 picks · 306 bans
Phoenix
281 picks · 486 bans
Windranger
278 picks · 348 bans
Snapfire
277 picks · 252 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% PlsReportTimber
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% PlsReportTimber
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
MANTA Esports 48%PlsReportTimber 52%
The model gave 52% on PlsReportTimber — the game was taken by MANTA Esports.
Model check result
Model favoritePlsReportTimber · 52%
Series resultMANTA Esports 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1