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Elite League Season 2 - Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
MANTA Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Salvation Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MANTA Esports

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
0%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
0%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
0%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Kimizu · 1 game
0%

Salvation Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
YoungGodLevi · 6 games
17%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Wonder'boy · 5 games
40%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Rupido · 4 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
LOyd · 4 games
25%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Wonder'boy · 3 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Rubick
Rubick
Dric~ · 3 games
33%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Dric~ · 3 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
478 picks · 222 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 721 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
404 picks · 361 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
402 picks · 579 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 162 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
367 picks · 786 bans
52%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
336 picks · 949 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)40% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Salvation Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total64% Salvation Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct12:25
MANTA Esports 36%Salvation Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by Salvation Gaming in 33:48.
Game 2prediction correct
MANTA Esports 36%Salvation Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Salvation Gaming — the game was taken by Salvation Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteSalvation Gaming · 64%
Series resultSalvation Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2