Riyadh Masters 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Me Parbloss 0:1series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Yangon Galacticoswin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Me Parb
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
KNP · 1 game
Lion
boombell · 1 game
Viperoften banned
Beebie · 1 game
Yangon Galacticos
Terrorbladeoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Faceless Voidoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Leshracoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Magnusoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
465 picks · 222 bans
Tiny
408 picks · 637 bans
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 366 bans
Batrider
393 picks · 699 bans
Centaur Warrunner
392 picks · 562 bans
Rubick
366 picks · 158 bans
Pangolier
355 picks · 759 bans
Shadow Demon
328 picks · 929 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength53% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Yangon Galacticos
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Me Parb 21%Yangon Galacticos 79%
The model gave 79% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos.
Model check result
Model favoriteYangon Galacticos · 79%
Series resultYangon Galacticos 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1