DreamLeague Season 25. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Meant 2 Bewin 1:0series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 1:0
AIALL INloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Meant 2 Be
No games played over 6 months.
ALL IN
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
396 picks · 494 bans
Muerta
375 picks · 287 bans
Tusk
367 picks · 401 bans
Pangolier
346 picks · 555 bans
Beastmaster
322 picks · 723 bans
Batrider
320 picks · 384 bans
Lion
312 picks · 148 bans
Phoenix
291 picks · 258 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Meant 2 Be
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Meant 2 Be
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Meant 2 Be 56%ALL IN 44%
The model gave 56% on Meant 2 Be — the game was taken by Meant 2 Be.
Model check result
Model favoriteMeant 2 Be · 56%
Series resultMeant 2 Be 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1