DreamLeague Season 25. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Meant 2 Bewin 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Get Rektloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Meant 2 Be
Leshrac
bgod · 2 games
Spectreoften banned
Double King · 2 games
Bloodseekeroften banned
Double King · 1 game
Bristlebackoften banned
Double King · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Double King · 1 game
Hoodwink
bgod · 1 game
Marci
bgod · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Double King · 1 game
Get Rekt
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
410 picks · 539 bans
Muerta
407 picks · 339 bans
Tusk
367 picks · 387 bans
Lion
354 picks · 179 bans
Pangolier
351 picks · 582 bans
Batrider
349 picks · 437 bans
Beastmaster
335 picks · 808 bans
Gyrocopter
325 picks · 503 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength52% Meant 2 Be
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Meant 2 Be
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Meant 2 Be 57%Get Rekt 43%
The model gave 57% on Meant 2 Be — the game was taken by Meant 2 Be.
Game 2prediction correct
Meant 2 Be 57%Get Rekt 43%
The model gave 57% on Meant 2 Be — the game was taken by Meant 2 Be.
Model check result
Model favoriteMeant 2 Be · 57%
Series resultMeant 2 Be 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2