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The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Mentality Monsterwin 2:1
series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Ivoryloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mentality Monster

Silencer
Silencersignature
Juju · 6 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfireoften banned
GaN- · 5 games
40%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
GaN- · 3 games
67%
Tiny
Tiny
Cije · 3 games
67%
Axe
Axeoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
OneJey · 2 games
100%
Largo
Largooften banned
OneJey · 2 games
50%
Luna
Luna
Cije · 2 games
50%

Ivory

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Ken · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ken · 10 games
40%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Teehee · 8 games
13%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Rupido · 7 games
71%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Karma丶 · 7 games
43%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Dric~ · 7 games
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Dric~ · 6 games
17%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Rupido · 6 games
17%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
633 picks · 420 bans
54%
Rubick
Rubick
539 picks · 302 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
487 picks · 588 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 398 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
432 picks · 625 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
357 picks · 1004 bans
57%
Tusk
Tusk
347 picks · 298 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
342 picks · 531 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 37%
Hero pool strength58% Mentality Monster
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Ivory
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:13
Mentality Monster 47%Ivory 53%
The model gave 53% on Ivory — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 39:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoCije
36% · 10 games47% · 30 games
Drow RangerKarma丶
Drow Ranger
Beastmaster
Beastmasteregxrdemxn
49% · 197 games52% · 361 game
Storm SpiritMac
Storm Spirit
Queen of Pain
Queen of PainGaN-
45% · 162 games51% · 203 games
UnderlordJG
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightOneJey
52% · 71 game
Phoenix
PhoenixJuju
57% · 154 games
Game 2prediction correct39:44
Mentality Monster 49%Ivory 51%
The model gave 51% on Ivory — the game was taken by Ivory in 1:17:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tiny
TinyCije
40% · 287 games62% · 143 games
Nature's ProphetKarma丶
Nature's Prophet
Void Spirit
Void SpiritGaN-
48% · 368 games55% · 615 games
PuckMac
Puck
Undying
Undyingegxrdemxn
42% · 96 games51% · 191 game
UnderlordJG
Underlord
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightOneJey
50% · 74 games
Silencer
SilencerJuju
41% · 124 games
Game 3prediction missed40:19
Mentality Monster 47%Ivory 53%
The model gave 53% on Ivory — the game was taken by Mentality Monster in 42:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Meepo
MeepoCije
43% · 22 games51% · 243 games
Storm SpiritMac
Storm Spirit
Slardar
SlardarGaN-
52% · 236 games42% · 303 games
TinyKarma丶
Tiny
Enigma
Enigmaegxrdemxn
47% · 50 games52% · 126 games
Primal BeastJG
Primal Beast
Phoenix
PhoenixJuju
46% · 226 games
Largo
LargoOneJey
63% · 138 games
Model check result
Model favoriteIvory · 54%
Series resultMentality Monster 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3