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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Mexican Talentsloss 0:2
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Hutwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mexican Talents

No games played over 6 months.

The Hut

Pudge
Pudgeoften banned
bgod · 2 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
bgod · 1 game
0%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
bgod · 1 game
100%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
bgod · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
bgod · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 615 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
376 picks · 387 bans
50%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
364 picks · 145 bans
53%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
358 picks · 473 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
321 picks · 583 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
321 picks · 155 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
316 picks · 668 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
315 picks · 436 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)25% vs 45%
Hero pool strength52% Mexican Talents
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total65% The Hut
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct15:38
Mexican Talents 35%The Hut 65%
The model gave 65% on The Hut — the game was taken by The Hut in 21:56.
Game 2prediction correct12:34
Mexican Talents 35%The Hut 65%
The model gave 65% on The Hut — the game was taken by The Hut in 17:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Hut · 65%
Series resultThe Hut 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2