Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionMmiaww^^win 1:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Khanloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
miaww^^
No games played over 6 months.
Khan
Marsoften banned
chshrct · 14 games
Tidehunteroften banned
pJonn · 14 games
Batrideroften banned
Dodren · 11 games
Bane
antoha · 10 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Dodren · 10 games
Morphlingoften banned
layme · 9 games
Terrorbladesignature
layme · 9 games
Tinysignature
Dodren · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
268 picks · 399 bans
Tidehunter
267 picks · 399 bans
Monkey King
260 picks · 636 bans
Bane
241 picks · 177 bans
Lina
219 picks · 480 bans
Weaver
216 picks · 411 bans
Lion
214 picks · 108 bans
Void Spirit
210 picks · 266 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength52% miaww^^
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Khan
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteKhan · 62%
Series resultmiaww^^ 1:0
Series predictionmissed