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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Mideng Dreamerloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Roar Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mideng Dreamer

Muerta
Muerta
Yumeyume · 3 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
7e · 2 games
100%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
BEYOND · 2 games
100%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 2 games
50%
Slark
Slarkoften banned
Yumeyume · 2 games
50%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
7e · 2 games
50%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
lou · 1 game
100%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 1 game
0%

Roar Gaming

Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulu · 14 games
36%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
RedPanda · 13 games
31%
Tusk
Tusk
CatYou · 11 games
18%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
RedPanda · 10 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
33%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 9 games
33%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
生死 · 8 games
38%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
ButterflyEffect · 7 games
14%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
642 picks · 695 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
520 picks · 455 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
496 picks · 416 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 290 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
422 picks · 407 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
401 picks · 1104 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
393 picks · 844 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
382 picks · 570 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 54%
Hero pool strength61% Mideng Dreamer
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total53% Roar Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:30
Mideng Dreamer 50%Roar Gaming 50%
The model gave 50% on Mideng Dreamer — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 34:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingYumeyume
52% · 240 games44% · 155 games
Terrorbladeukiyo
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
Beastmaster7e
53% · 449 games50% · 202 games
Queen of PainButterflyEffect
Queen of Pain
Viper
ViperBEYOND
48% · 161 game50% · 171 game
Tidehunter生死
Tidehunter
Phoenix
PhoenixUndyne_
47% · 318 games54% · 248 games
HoodwinkCatYou
Hoodwink
52% · 392 games
JakiroLOyd
Jakiro
Game 2prediction missed25:18
Mideng Dreamer 51%Roar Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Mideng Dreamer — the game was taken by Roar Gaming in 41:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Weaver
WeaverYumeyume
51% · 201 game45% · 149 games
Terrorbladeukiyo
Terrorblade
Beastmaster
Beastmaster7e
47% · 464 games46% · 117 games
LeshracButterflyEffect
Leshrac
Tidehunter
TidehunterBEYOND
54% · 294 games52% · 233 games
Batrider生死
Batrider
Dazzle
DazzleUndyne_
53% · 184 games53% · 352 games
TuskCatYou
Tusk
46% · 292 games
WarlockLOyd
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteRoar Gaming · 53%
Series resultRoar Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2