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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Mind Gamesloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Mind Games

No games played over 6 months.

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 10 games
80%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 8 games
75%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 7 games
86%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 7 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
505 picks · 449 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
492 picks · 695 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
464 picks · 285 bans
58%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
436 picks · 531 bans
52%
Sand King
Sand King
407 picks · 555 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
401 picks · 642 bans
57%
Pangolier
Pangolier
376 picks · 620 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
361 picks · 318 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 57%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:16
Mind Games 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:19.
Game 2prediction correct32:28
Mind Games 43%BETBOOM TEAM 57%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:42.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2