The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Modo Serioloss 0:2series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 0:2
RisingRagewin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Modo Serio
No games played over 6 months.
RisingRage
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
621 picks · 404 bans
Rubick
525 picks · 290 bans
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
Tiny
468 picks · 388 bans
Pangolier
426 picks · 601 bans
Puck
345 picks · 977 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 287 bans
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 507 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Modo Serio
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% Modo Serio
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 2prediction missed10:42
Modo Serio 57%RisingRage 43%
The model gave 57% on Modo Serio — the game was taken by RisingRage in 35:37.
Game 3prediction missed29:46
Modo Serio 57%RisingRage 43%
The model gave 57% on Modo Serio — the game was taken by RisingRage in 32:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteModo Serio · 57%
Series resultRisingRage 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2