European Pro League Season 37 · BO3
result vs prediction
MODUSwin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Enjoy Boysloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MODUS
Rubick
mrls · 8 games
Pangolieroften banned
elmo^^ · 7 games
Tiny
bottega · 7 games
Ringmaster
mrls · 6 games
Hoodwink
mrls · 5 games
Muertaoften banned
bottega · 5 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 5 games
Underlordoften banned
elmo^^ · 5 games
Enjoy Boys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
509 picks · 287 bans
Phoenix
481 picks · 566 bans
Tiny
439 picks · 351 bans
Jakiro
433 picks · 341 bans
Tusk
373 picks · 326 bans
Beastmaster
347 picks · 837 bans
Puck
345 picks · 842 bans
Rubick
341 picks · 182 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 43%
Hero pool strength55% Enjoy Boys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% MODUS
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:17
MODUS 59%Enjoy Boys 41%
The model gave 59% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 41:49.
Game 2prediction correct37:20
MODUS 59%Enjoy Boys 41%
The model gave 59% on MODUS — the game was taken by MODUS in 39:32.
Model check result
Model favoriteMODUS · 59%
Series resultMODUS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2