IESF World Esports Championship 2024 Europe Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Молдоваloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Румынияwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Молдова
No games played over 6 months.
Румыния
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
389 picks · 742 bans
Hoodwink
345 picks · 303 bans
Rubick
344 picks · 227 bans
Weaver
338 picks · 673 bans
Clockwerk
319 picks · 470 bans
Gyrocopter
311 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
307 picks · 537 bans
Dark Willow
286 picks · 344 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Молдова
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Молдова
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:17
Молдова 52%Румыния 48%
The model gave 52% on Молдова — the game was taken by Румыния in 24:41.
Game 2prediction missed27:40
Молдова 52%Румыния 48%
The model gave 52% on Молдова — the game was taken by Румыния in 31:04.
Model check result
Model favoriteМолдова · 52%
Series resultРумыния 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2