BetBoom Xmas Show · BO3
result vs prediction
Monaspawin 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Monaspa
No games played over 6 months.
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
344 picks · 287 bans
Marci
283 picks · 529 bans
Tusk
280 picks · 246 bans
Undying
260 picks · 450 bans
Pangolier
240 picks · 496 bans
Primal Beast
223 picks · 539 bans
Shadow Fiend
215 picks · 316 bans
Crystal Maiden
202 picks · 117 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 61%
Hero pool strength50% Monaspa
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total64% Monaspa
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed16:27
Monaspa 64%YNT 36%
The model gave 64% on Monaspa — the game was taken by YNT in 29:01.
Game 2prediction missed39:34
Monaspa 64%YNT 36%
The model gave 64% on Monaspa — the game was taken by YNT in 42:59.
Model check result
Model favoriteMonaspa · 64%
Series resultMonaspa 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2