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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
Moodeng Warriorsloss 0:2
series probability
8%92%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Moodeng Warriors

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Abed · 6 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Jabz · 5 games
60%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Oli · 4 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
423 · 4 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Oli · 4 games
25%
Riki
Rikioften banned
Jabz · 4 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
JT- · 3 games
33%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Oli · 3 games
67%

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
73%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 29 games
59%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 23 games
78%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
73%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
64%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 20 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 19 games
68%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
519 picks · 778 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
505 picks · 601 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
489 picks · 513 bans
55%
Batrider
Batrider
471 picks · 580 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
447 picks · 379 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
433 picks · 990 bans
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
425 picks · 778 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
389 picks · 211 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total92% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct4:23
Moodeng Warriors 21%BETBOOM TEAM 79%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaAbed
53% · 85 games45% · 55 games
BloodseekerPure~
Bloodseeker
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin423
45% · 94 games55% · 183 games
MagnusgpK~
Magnus
Timbersaw
TimbersawJT-
51% · 125 games47% · 192 games
Primal BeastMieRo
Primal Beast
Chen
ChenOli
56% · 81 game54% · 53 games
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Tusk
TuskJabz
45% · 112 games42% · 14 games
Winter WyvernKataomi
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct8:22
Moodeng Warriors 22%BETBOOM TEAM 78%
The model gave 78% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Earthshaker
EarthshakerAbed
60% · 93 games45% · 103 games
BloodseekerPure~
Bloodseeker
Morphling
Morphling423
45% · 233 games55% · 100 games
LycanMieRo
Lycan
Pangolier
PangolierJT-
49% · 353 games51% · 353 games
PuckgpK~
Puck
Marci
MarciJabz
53% · 126 games49% · 465 games
PhoenixKataomi
Phoenix
Batrider
BatriderOli
45% · 297 games51% · 81 game
Shadow ShamanSave-
Shadow Shaman
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 92%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2