BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Morphilina Teamloss 0:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cooman Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Morphilina Team
Alchemist
DM · 1 game
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 1 game
Bounty Hunteroften banned
arteezysbastark · 1 game
Bristleback
DM · 1 game
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
Doomoften banned
DM · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
DM · 1 game
Magnus
arteezysbastark · 1 game
Cooman Team
Bristleback
Lagoona · 2 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Phoenix
Lagoona · 2 games
Razoroften banned
Lagoona · 2 games
Weaver
judah · 2 games
Alchemist
Cooman · 1 game
Bane
Degi · 1 game
Clinkz
judah · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
422 picks · 392 bans
Snapfire
394 picks · 199 bans
Puck
342 picks · 892 bans
Pugna
316 picks · 360 bans
Tusk
285 picks · 227 bans
Warlock
283 picks · 138 bans
Batrider
275 picks · 672 bans
Queen of Pain
274 picks · 830 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 29%
Hero pool strength52% Morphilina Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% Cooman Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct14:35
Morphilina Team 49%Cooman Team 51%
The model gave 51% on Cooman Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 37:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
DoomDM
AlchemistCooman
Timbersawarteezysbastark
Clinkzjudah
36% · 55 games
Dark SeerLagoona
75% · 4 games
Spirit BreakerRavshan
45% · 28 games
BaneDegi
Game 2prediction correct42:57
Morphilina Team 50%Cooman Team 50%
The model gave 50% on Cooman Team — the game was taken by Cooman Team in 51:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerDM
Ember SpiritCooman
Legion Commanderarteezysbastark
Spectrejudah
53% · 13 games
TidehunterLagoona
61% · 14 games
SilencerDegi
50% · 16 games
LionRavshan
Model check result
Model favoriteCooman Team · 51%
Series resultCooman Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2