Tennisi Stampede Champions: Season 1 · BO1
result vs prediction
Most Wantedwin 1:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Ilbirs eSportsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Most Wanted
Tusksignature
Ponlo · 20 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Ponlo · 15 games
Bristlebacksignature
fortniteMan · 14 games
Chensignature
Rein · 14 games
Dazzlesignature
Rein · 14 games
Marcisignature
fortniteMan · 14 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
niche · 14 games
Slardarsignature
fortniteMan · 14 games
Ilbirs eSports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
787 picks · 362 bans
Hoodwink
579 picks · 300 bans
Disruptor
578 picks · 579 bans
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 577 bans
Jakiro
493 picks · 333 bans
Tusk
482 picks · 268 bans
Mars
474 picks · 753 bans
Puck
437 picks · 1107 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 50%
Hero pool strength64% Most Wanted
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% Most Wanted
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Most Wanted 91%Ilbirs eSports 9%
The model gave 91% on Most Wanted — the game was taken by Most Wanted.
Model check result
Model favoriteMost Wanted · 91%
Series resultMost Wanted 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1