BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lionsignature
Q · 20 games
Clockwerksignature
Q · 15 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 10 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
Snapfiresignature
LionaX · 9 games
Dream Maker
Lion
czy · 5 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Nevermine · 5 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Nevermine · 4 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Nevermine · 4 games
Dawnbreakeroften banned
TrazaM · 3 games
Marsoften banned
TrazaM · 3 games
Mirana
czy · 3 games
Rubick
czy · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
364 picks · 179 bans
Hoodwink
331 picks · 121 bans
Lina
271 picks · 501 bans
Mars
260 picks · 431 bans
Luna
253 picks · 340 bans
Pangolier
251 picks · 338 bans
Nyx Assassin
239 picks · 512 bans
Terrorblade
230 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 31%
Hero pool strength62% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 78%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 2:0
Series predictioncorrect