?
arrow_backBack to match
BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 0:2
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Execrationwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 19 games
84%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 15 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
85%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%

Execration

Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinoften banned
Bob · 17 games
59%
Puck
Pucksignature
Bob · 15 games
60%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
RR · 14 games
64%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
RR · 14 games
71%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
RR · 12 games
58%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritoften banned
Yowe · 12 games
58%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Palos · 11 games
55%
Doom
Doomsignature
Force · 10 games
80%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
367 picks · 177 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
336 picks · 121 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
270 picks · 497 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
252 picks · 344 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
252 picks · 425 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
248 picks · 523 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
248 picks · 323 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
235 picks · 487 bans
56%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 38%
Hero pool strength53% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total58% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed20:28
Motivate.Trust Gaming 54%Execration 46%
The model gave 54% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Execration in 31:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinJaCkky
44% · 26 games62% · 64 games
Templar AssassinTino-
Templar Assassin
Void Spirit
Void SpiritFearless
37% · 88 games57% · 90 games
InvokerBob
Invoker
Monkey King
Monkey KingQ
43% · 43 games54% · 12 games
SilencerRR
Silencer
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenboombell
41% · 9 games
Game 2prediction missed34:38
Motivate.Trust Gaming 60%Execration 40%
The model gave 60% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Execration in 49:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Medusa
MedusaJaCkky
61% · 46 games50% · 85 games
Phantom LancerTino-
Phantom Lancer
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinFearless
47% · 55 games50% · 159 games
InvokerBob
Invoker
Lion
Lionboombell
52% · 70 games44% · 23 games
SilencerRR
Silencer
Mars
MarsQ
46% · 96 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 58%
Series resultExecration 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2