?
arrow_backBack to match
LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO3
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 16 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 14 games
71%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 9 games
89%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
boombell · 7 games
71%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 7 games
71%

Neon Esports

Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 29 games
62%
Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 28 games
61%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 24 games
54%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 22 games
50%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Jaunuel · 20 games
55%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
47%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Enryu · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
439 picks · 182 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
324 picks · 126 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
319 picks · 629 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
316 picks · 692 bans
49%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 478 bans
55%
Mars
Mars
298 picks · 527 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
270 picks · 341 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
265 picks · 361 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 58%
Hero pool strength57% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 4
Model total55% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed26:17
Motivate.Trust Gaming 46%Neon Esports 54%
The model gave 54% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 22:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterJaCkky
41% · 69 games57% · 53 games
LifestealerSkem
Lifestealer
Viper
ViperFearless
42% · 84 games58% · 54 games
Templar AssassinYopaj
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingQ
50% · 76 games57% · 93 games
PangolierEnryu
Pangolier
Abaddon
Abaddonboombell
50% · 147 games50% · 82 games
Earth SpiritShanks
Earth Spirit
51% · 94 games
HoodwinkJaunuel
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction missed30:21
Motivate.Trust Gaming 49%Neon Esports 51%
The model gave 51% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 33:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
63% · 102 games56% · 106 games
Templar AssassinYopaj
Templar Assassin
Sand King
Sand KingFearless
46% · 70 games50% · 109 games
LeshracSkem
Leshrac
Lion
LionQ
51% · 233 games38% · 91 game
ViperEnryu
Viper
Phoenix
Phoenixboombell
53% · 166 games44% · 135 games
TuskShanks
Tusk
43% · 130 games
EnchantressJaunuel
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 55%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2