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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 15 games
87%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 14 games
71%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 9 games
89%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
38%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
LionaX · 8 games
63%
Medusa
Medusasignature
JaCkky · 7 games
71%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
boombell · 6 games
83%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 16 games
69%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 16 games
63%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 10 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Poloson · 7 games
43%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 7 games
57%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 7 games
43%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
343 · 7 games
43%
Juggernaut
Juggernautoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
29%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
425 picks · 168 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
312 picks · 469 bans
56%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
303 picks · 618 bans
55%
Puck
Puck
298 picks · 691 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
296 picks · 521 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
267 picks · 112 bans
49%
Enchantress
Enchantress
257 picks · 344 bans
47%
Lina
Lina
257 picks · 330 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength55% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head4 – 1
Model total53% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct44:24
Motivate.Trust Gaming 54%Nigma Galaxy SEA 46%
The model gave 54% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 41:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinJaCkky
60% · 108 games48% · 100 games
LunainYourdreaM
Luna
Sand King
Sand KingFearless
46% · 84 games50% · 173 games
Death ProphetMeracle
Death Prophet
Phoenix
Phoenixboombell
52% · 203 games50% · 124 games
TinyAlaCrity
Tiny
Lion
LionQ
49% · 285 games46% · 130 games
TuskJhocam
Tusk
48% · 153 games
Ancient ApparitionPoloson
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction missed34:38
Motivate.Trust Gaming 54%Nigma Galaxy SEA 46%
The model gave 54% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 55:02.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerJaCkky
54% · 66 games55% · 88 games
TerrorbladeinYourdreaM
Terrorblade
Sand King
Sand KingFearless
48% · 70 games51% · 89 games
Ember SpiritAlaCrity
Ember Spirit
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeQ
39% · 143 games53% · 70 games
BatriderMeracle
Batrider
Mirana
Miranaboombell
50% · 163 games45% · 63 games
Winter WyvernPoloson
Winter Wyvern
60% · 132 games
Nyx AssassinJhocam
Nyx Assassin
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 53%
Accuracy by game1 of 2