BTS Pro Series Season 10. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:1
TOTeam Orcaloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lion
boombell · 19 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 13 games
Monkey Kingsignature
Q · 10 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Wraith Kingoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Fearless · 8 games
Linaoften banned
Fearless · 7 games
Team Orca
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
539 picks · 385 bans
Mars
448 picks · 655 bans
Queen of Pain
445 picks · 535 bans
Weaver
431 picks · 845 bans
Snapfire
346 picks · 178 bans
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 542 bans
Kunkka
334 picks · 541 bans
Wraith King
276 picks · 312 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 50%
Hero pool strength51% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Team Orca
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Orca · 61%