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BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Motivate.Trust Gamingloss 1:1
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Yangon Galacticosloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Motivate.Trust Gaming

Lion
Lionsignature
Q · 17 games
88%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 15 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 11 games
91%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
67%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
LionaX · 8 games
38%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
boombell · 8 games
63%
Snapfire
Snapfiresignature
Q · 8 games
63%

Yangon Galacticos

Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Clinkz
Clinkzoften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
100%
Lycan
Lycanoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Phantom Lancer
Phantom Lanceroften banned
Ksh · 1 game
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
374 picks · 171 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
346 picks · 125 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
264 picks · 443 bans
51%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
260 picks · 526 bans
58%
Luna
Luna
250 picks · 346 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
247 picks · 334 bans
46%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
246 picks · 251 bans
52%
Puck
Puck
235 picks · 542 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 43%
Hero pool strength61% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:20
Motivate.Trust Gaming 50%Yangon Galacticos 50%
The model gave 50% on Yangon Galacticos — the game was taken by Motivate.Trust Gaming in 34:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeJaCkky
55% · 31 game55% · 49 games
Phantom AssassinKsh
Phantom Assassin
Kunkka
KunkkaFearless
46% · 14 games45% · 69 games
Storm SpiritYoung PH
Storm Spirit
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidenboombell
42% · 16 games
Monkey King
Monkey KingQ
53% · 57 games
Game 2prediction missed22:40
Motivate.Trust Gaming 51%Yangon Galacticos 49%
The model gave 51% on Motivate.Trust Gaming — the game was taken by Yangon Galacticos in 31:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Invoker
InvokerFearless
58% · 43 games52% · 66 games
TerrorbladeKsh
Terrorblade
Sven
SvenJaCkky
55% · 23 games49% · 79 games
Ember SpiritYoung PH
Ember Spirit
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidQ
48% · 34 games
Enchantress
Enchantressboombell
38% · 45 games
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 52%
Accuracy by game0 of 2