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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 1:1
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:1
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 44 games
59%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 41 game
59%
Tiny
Tinysignature
NARMAN · 38 games
63%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Force · 36 games
69%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
bengan · 30 games
60%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 28 games
54%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctoroften banned
bengan · 28 games
57%
Sven
Sven
Ulnit · 23 games
39%

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 25 games
60%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 22 games
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
385 picks · 656 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 369 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
316 picks · 449 bans
53%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
313 picks · 350 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
305 picks · 572 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
300 picks · 184 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
292 picks · 201 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
282 picks · 377 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 52%
Hero pool strength51% MOUZ
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total50% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct19:36
MOUZ 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterUlnit
48% · 238 games50% · 70 games
UrsaNightfall
Ursa
Dark Seer
Dark SeerForce
48% · 165 games54% · 217 games
TinyMieRo
Tiny
Snapfire
SnapfireSupream^
41% · 117 games57% · 75 games
InvokergpK~
Invoker
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterNARMAN
49% · 10 games58% · 142 games
HoodwinkSave-
Hoodwink
Jakiro
Jakirobengan
48% · 42 games49% · 68 games
Elder TitanTORONTOTOKYO
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct29:15
MOUZ 53%BETBOOM TEAM 47%
The model gave 53% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 40:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterUlnit
50% · 216 games35% · 183 games
Dragon KnightNightfall
Dragon Knight
Pangolier
PangolierForce
47% · 262 games49% · 21 game
VisageMieRo
Visage
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendSupream^
57% · 52 games47% · 148 games
WindrangergpK~
Windranger
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNARMAN
63% · 60 games50% · 126 games
TuskSave-
Tusk
Marci
Marcibengan
62% · 107 games46% · 219 games
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 50%
Accuracy by game2 of 2