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CCT Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZwin 2:0
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

MOUZ

Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
bengan · 30 games
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 29 games
48%
Dark Seer
Dark Seer
Force · 26 games
54%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Force · 25 games
48%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Force · 24 games
29%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
NARMAN · 23 games
61%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
NARMAN · 23 games
57%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
NARMAN · 22 games
55%

Passion UA

Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Fernans · 19 games
37%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Fernans · 19 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
niche · 16 games
63%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Batyuk · 16 games
56%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
flacko · 16 games
38%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
flacko · 13 games
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
niche · 13 games
38%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
flacko · 13 games
23%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
480 picks · 659 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
417 picks · 461 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
353 picks · 446 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
352 picks · 525 bans
49%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
328 picks · 174 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
319 picks · 395 bans
51%
Enchantress
Enchantress
317 picks · 646 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
296 picks · 307 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 51%
Hero pool strength53% MOUZ
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:11
MOUZ 60%Passion UA 40%
The model gave 60% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 31:11.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterUlnit
42% · 300 games49% · 372 games
Dragon Knightyowaai
Dragon Knight
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritSupream^
48% · 140 games53% · 258 games
Storm Spiritniche
Storm Spirit
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerForce
52% · 379 games47% · 100 games
BristlebackBatyuk
Bristleback
Chen
ChenTobi
64% · 119 games45% · 261 game
LionFernans
Lion
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonImmersion
53% · 319 games49% · 266 games
Phoenixflacko
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct34:23
MOUZ 63%Passion UA 37%
The model gave 63% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 34:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Luna
LunaUlnit
52% · 255 games45% · 357 games
PangolierBatyuk
Pangolier
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeForce
48% · 99 games56% · 106 games
Monkey Kingniche
Monkey King
Earth Spirit
Earth SpiritSupream^
55% · 143 games44% · 154 games
MuertaFernans
Muerta
Chen
ChenTobi
55% · 103 games40% · 76 games
Marciflacko
Marci
Lion
LionImmersion
54% · 232 games49% · 139 games
Shadow Fiendyowaai
Shadow Fiend
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 68%
Series resultMOUZ 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2