CCT Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
MOUZloss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Teawin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MOUZ
Gyrocopteroften banned
Ulnit · 46 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
bengan · 45 games
Tinysignature
NARMAN · 40 games
Primal Beastsignature
Force · 38 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Force · 33 games
Witch Doctoroften banned
bengan · 32 games
Crystal Maidensignature
bengan · 30 games
Sven
Ulnit · 23 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
420 picks · 306 bans
Hoodwink
413 picks · 438 bans
Tiny
393 picks · 890 bans
Weaver
393 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
362 picks · 712 bans
Pangolier
361 picks · 516 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 482 bans
Dragon Knight
307 picks · 533 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 64%
Hero pool strength54% MOUZ
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total51% Team Tea
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed25:27
MOUZ 49%Team Tea 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Tea — the game was taken by MOUZ in 47:02.
Game 2prediction correct29:17
MOUZ 49%Team Tea 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 32:43.
Game 3prediction correct38:12
MOUZ 49%Team Tea 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Tea — the game was taken by Team Tea in 35:08.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Tea · 51%
Series resultTeam Tea 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3