BetBoom Streamers Battle 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
MUSIC HALLloss 1:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FEDERALNAYAwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
MUSIC HALL
No games played over 6 months.
FEDERALNAYA
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
544 picks · 760 bans
Clockwerk
510 picks · 581 bans
Batrider
502 picks · 621 bans
Tiny
496 picks · 586 bans
Muerta
489 picks · 414 bans
Gyrocopter
455 picks · 807 bans
Magnus
454 picks · 996 bans
Pangolier
407 picks · 623 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 78%
Hero pool strength50% MUSIC HALL
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total71% FEDERALNAYA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:30
MUSIC HALL 29%FEDERALNAYA 71%
The model gave 71% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 46:51.
Game 2prediction missed22:37
MUSIC HALL 29%FEDERALNAYA 71%
The model gave 71% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by MUSIC HALL in 40:42.
Game 3prediction correct31:39
MUSIC HALL 29%FEDERALNAYA 71%
The model gave 71% on FEDERALNAYA — the game was taken by FEDERALNAYA in 39:39.
Model check result
Model favoriteFEDERALNAYA · 71%
Series resultFEDERALNAYA 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3