FISSURE Universe: Episode 4. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionNN3X7loss 0:1
series probability
32%68%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Ban9PivoSamogonwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
N3X7
No games played over 6 months.
Ban9PivoSamogon
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
470 picks · 398 bans
Phoenix
467 picks · 575 bans
Batrider
450 picks · 553 bans
Clockwerk
431 picks · 529 bans
Gyrocopter
416 picks · 771 bans
Tiny
414 picks · 459 bans
Lion
403 picks · 232 bans
Magnus
398 picks · 870 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 63%
Hero pool strength50% N3X7
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Ban9PivoSamogon
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
N3X7 32%Ban9PivoSamogon 68%
The model gave 68% on Ban9PivoSamogon — the game was taken by Ban9PivoSamogon.
Model check result
Model favoriteBan9PivoSamogon · 68%
Series resultBan9PivoSamogon 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1