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The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2
series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 0:2
1w Teamwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Niku · 28 games
46%
Timbersaw
Timbersawsignature
pma · 27 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Riddys · 26 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 24 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gotthejuice · 21 game
57%
Templar Assassin
Templar Assassinsignature
gotthejuice · 21 game
81%
Lich
Lichsignature
Riddys · 20 games
65%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 20 games
60%

1w Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 23 games
48%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fishman · 20 games
45%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Chira JUNIOR · 17 games
71%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Munkushi~ · 16 games
44%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Munkushi~ · 15 games
40%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Cloud · 14 games
57%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Cloud · 14 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Munkushi~ · 13 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
476 picks · 452 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
460 picks · 533 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
438 picks · 215 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
342 picks · 630 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
302 picks · 435 bans
54%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
293 picks · 640 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 211 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
278 picks · 79 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:36
Natus Vincere Junior 60%1w Team 40%
The model gave 60% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by 1w Team in 32:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Doom
Doomgotthejuice
57% · 233 games44% · 138 games
LinaMunkushi~
Lina
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnerpma
57% · 169 games52% · 290 games
BeastmasterSSS
Beastmaster
Invoker
InvokerNiku
48% · 168 games51% · 205 games
Ember SpiritSquad1x
Ember Spirit
Earthshaker
EarthshakerZayac
52% · 122 games53% · 120 games
Nature's Prophetkasane
Nature's Prophet
Pugna
PugnaRiddys
47% · 123 games32% · 62 games
Chaos Knightswedenstrong
Chaos Knight
Game 2prediction missed18:33
Natus Vincere Junior 61%1w Team 39%
The model gave 61% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by 1w Team in 35:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
Terrorbladegotthejuice
49% · 204 games51% · 75 games
LinaMunkushi~
Lina
Underlord
Underlordpma
43% · 104 games56% · 329 games
TinySquad1x
Tiny
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNiku
46% · 60 games50% · 14 games
AxeSSS
Axe
Snapfire
SnapfireZayac
51% · 125 games50% · 207 games
Windrangerswedenstrong
Windranger
Ringmaster
RingmasterRiddys
49% · 160 games53% · 28 games
Undyingkasane
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 69%
Series result1w Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2