European Pro League Season 33 · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
BBackstreetboysloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Ringmastersignature
Riddys · 12 games
Puckoften banned
gbc · 11 games
Tiny
Niku · 11 games
Warlock
Riddys · 11 games
Snapfire
Gothic- · 9 games
Ursaoften banned
rubikon155 · 9 games
Batridersignature
Zayac · 8 games
Hoodwink
Gothic- · 8 games
Backstreetboys
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
787 picks · 362 bans
Hoodwink
579 picks · 300 bans
Disruptor
578 picks · 581 bans
Dragon Knight
494 picks · 577 bans
Jakiro
493 picks · 333 bans
Tusk
484 picks · 268 bans
Mars
474 picks · 754 bans
Puck
437 picks · 1110 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)24% vs 50%
Hero pool strength53% Backstreetboys
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Natus Vincere Junior 67%Backstreetboys 33%
The model gave 67% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Game 2prediction correct
Natus Vincere Junior 67%Backstreetboys 33%
The model gave 67% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 67%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2