The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorwin 2:0series probability
97%3%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Sebekiloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Tinyoften banned
Niku · 28 games
Phoenix
Riddys · 26 games
Timbersawsignature
pma · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 22 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gotthejuice · 21 game
Lichsignature
Riddys · 20 games
Lifestealersignature
gotthejuice · 20 games
Earthshakersignature
Zayac · 19 games
Sebeki
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
470 picks · 443 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 496 bans
Ringmaster
432 picks · 200 bans
Terrorblade
331 picks · 579 bans
Storm Spirit
290 picks · 400 bans
Ancient Apparition
287 picks · 606 bans
Tusk
275 picks · 182 bans
Windranger
265 picks · 74 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 50%
Hero pool strength55% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total97% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct3:18
Natus Vincere Junior 97%Sebeki 3%
The model gave 97% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 13:37.
Game 2prediction correct12:26
Natus Vincere Junior 97%Sebeki 3%
The model gave 97% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Natus Vincere Junior in 21:56.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 97%
Series resultNatus Vincere Junior 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2