RES Regional Series: EU #3 · BO2
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Teawin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Natus Vincere Junior
Lionsignature
Riddys · 39 games
Snapfire
Daze · 28 games
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
Timbersawsignature
Niku · 24 games
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 23 games
Batridersignature
Daze · 20 games
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 18 games
Team Tea
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
382 picks · 638 bans
Gyrocopter
324 picks · 368 bans
Dark Willow
320 picks · 350 bans
Clockwerk
314 picks · 442 bans
Weaver
301 picks · 534 bans
Centaur Warrunner
296 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
290 picks · 540 bans
Crystal Maiden
289 picks · 109 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 63%
Hero pool strength54% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:25
Natus Vincere Junior 52%Team Tea 48%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Team Tea in 35:09.
Game 2prediction missed30:12
Natus Vincere Junior 52%Team Tea 48%
The model gave 52% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Team Tea in 37:12.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 52%
Series resultTeam Tea 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2