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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Natus Vincere Juniorloss 0:2
series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Yellow Submarinewin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Natus Vincere Junior

Lion
Lionsignature
Riddys · 36 games
61%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Daze · 35 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Niku · 27 games
56%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
gotthejuice · 25 games
72%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Riddys · 23 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
pma · 21 game
38%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastsignature
Niku · 20 games
70%
Pugna
Pugna
Riddys · 20 games
50%

Yellow Submarine

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
emptiness · 32 games
63%
Techies
Techies
rue · 28 games
46%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
erase · 22 games
45%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
52%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Satanic · 21 game
52%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
asdekor_r · 20 games
35%
Mars
Marsoften banned
emptiness · 18 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
rue · 18 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
485 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
442 picks · 637 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
419 picks · 738 bans
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
400 picks · 564 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
396 picks · 163 bans
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
389 picks · 343 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
372 picks · 769 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
339 picks · 561 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength52% Natus Vincere Junior
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total63% Natus Vincere Junior
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed8:24
Natus Vincere Junior 63%Yellow Submarine 37%
The model gave 63% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 31:17.
Game 2prediction missed22:12
Natus Vincere Junior 63%Yellow Submarine 37%
The model gave 63% on Natus Vincere Junior — the game was taken by Yellow Submarine in 41:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere Junior · 63%
Series resultYellow Submarine 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2